New England Journal of Medicine OCTOBER 16, 2014

Goal-Directed Resuscitation for Patients with Early Septic Shock

The ARISE Investigators and the ANZICS Clinical Trials Group

Bottom Line

In this large, multicenter randomized controlled trial, early goal-directed therapy (EGDT) for patients presenting to the emergency department with early septic shock did not reduce all-cause mortality at 90 days compared with standard care.

Key Findings

1. The primary outcome of 90-day all-cause mortality occurred in 18.6% of patients in the EGDT group and 18.8% of patients in the standard care group, showing no significant difference between the two approaches (relative risk, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.76 to 1.26; P=0.90).
2. Patients in the EGDT group received significantly higher volumes of intravenous fluid within the first 6 hours (mean ±SD, 1964±1415 ml) compared to the standard care group (1713±1401 ml; P<0.001).
3. The use of vasopressor support was significantly higher in the EGDT group (76.3%) compared to the standard care group (65.8%) (relative risk, 1.16; 95% confidence interval, 1.09 to 1.24; P<0.001).
4. There were no significant differences observed in secondary outcomes, including the duration of organ support, length of hospital or intensive care unit stay, or discharge destination.

Study Design

Design
RCT
Open-Label
Sample
1,600
Patients
Duration
90 days
Median
Setting
Multicenter, international
Population Adult patients presenting to the emergency department with early septic shock (defined by refractory hypotension or hypoperfusion despite initial fluid challenge)
Intervention Early goal-directed therapy (EGDT) protocol including central venous catheterization for continuous ScvO2 monitoring, intravenous fluids, vasopressors, and red blood cell transfusion as needed for 6 hours
Comparator Standard care as determined by the treating clinician
Outcome All-cause mortality at 90 days after randomization

Study Limitations

The trial was unblinded, which could introduce bias in the management of the standard care group, although the trial aimed to reflect pragmatic 'usual care'.
The study population had lower baseline illness severity (APACHE II scores) compared to the original Rivers et al. study, which may limit generalizability to higher-acuity, more unstable patients.
The high quality of 'usual care' in the participating hospitals may have minimized the potential for further improvement by the specific EGDT protocol.

Clinical Significance

The ARISE trial, alongside the ProCESS and ProMISe trials, demonstrated that a rigid, protocolized bundle of early goal-directed therapy is not superior to standard resuscitative care for early septic shock when standard care already involves early recognition, prompt antibiotics, and appropriate fluid resuscitation, essentially shifting the focus toward a more generalized, early intervention strategy.

Historical Context

The study was designed to rigorously test the landmark 2001 single-center study by Rivers et al., which reported a substantial mortality benefit with EGDT. Given the widespread, heterogeneous adoption of the Rivers protocol, ARISE was initiated to provide high-level evidence regarding its effectiveness in a modern, multicenter, international setting.

Guided Discussion

High-yield insights from every perspective

Med Student
Medical Student

The original Early Goal-Directed Therapy (EGDT) protocol emphasized achieving specific targets for Central Venous Pressure (CVP), Mean Arterial Pressure (MAP), and Superior Vena Cava Oxygen Saturation (ScvO2). From a physiological perspective, why was ScvO2 considered a critical marker of the balance between oxygen delivery and consumption in early sepsis?

Key Response

ScvO2 reflects the amount of oxygen remaining in the blood after tissues have extracted what they need. In early sepsis, tissue oxygen demand often exceeds delivery (DO2), leading to increased oxygen extraction and a drop in ScvO2. The ARISE trial suggests that while the physiology remains valid, modern standard care (early fluids and antibiotics) may normalize this balance sufficiently without the need for invasive ScvO2 monitoring.

Resident
Resident

In the ARISE trial, the 'usual care' group had a 90-day mortality rate of 18.8%, which was nearly identical to the EGDT group. Given that 'usual care' clinicians were not required to follow a specific protocol, what are the core elements of sepsis management that have likely become 'standard' since the original 2001 Rivers trial, explaining this lack of difference?

Key Response

The 'standard of care' evolved significantly between 2001 and the ARISE trial (published 2014). Residents should recognize that early recognition, rapid administration of intravenous fluids (average 2.5L prior to randomization in ARISE), and early initiation of appropriate antibiotics are now the cornerstones of therapy, making the incremental benefit of invasive catheters and blood transfusions (specified in EGDT) negligible for the majority of patients.

Fellow
Fellow

The ARISE trial, along with ProCESS and ProMISe, formed the PRISM meta-analysis. When interpreting the 'null' results of ARISE, how should a clinician reconcile these findings with the potential existence of a 'high-risk' subgroup (e.g., those with profound lactate elevation or refractory hypotension) who might still benefit from the intensive monitoring components of the original EGDT protocol?

Key Response

Fellows must understand the concept of treatment effect heterogeneity. While ARISE showed no benefit in a broad population with a mortality of ~18%, the original Rivers trial had a mortality of ~46%. The lack of benefit in ARISE may be due to the 'ceiling effect' of improved baseline care or the inclusion of lower-acuity patients. For the 'sickest of the sick,' the metabolic information provided by ScvO2 or lactate clearance may still guide vasopressor or inotropic titration in a way that 'usual care' cannot.

Attending
Attending

If the ARISE trial proves that the resource-intensive requirements of EGDT (central venous catheterization, continuous ScvO2 monitoring, and strict algorithmic pacing) do not improve outcomes, how should this change the allocation of nursing and physician resources in a busy Emergency Department during the first six hours of sepsis resuscitation?

Key Response

The attending perspective focuses on systems and teaching. ARISE allows for 'de-implementation' of invasive, time-consuming procedures that do not add value, allowing the team to focus on high-yield interventions: source control, timely antibiotics, and dynamic assessment of fluid responsiveness (like passive leg raises or ultrasound) rather than static pressure targets like CVP.

Scholarly Review

Critical appraisal through the lens of expert reviewers and guideline development

PhD
PhD

The ARISE trial reported a 90-day mortality endpoint. From a trial design perspective, discuss the implications of using a 90-day mortality rate versus a 28-day mortality rate in septic shock, particularly regarding the potential for 'competing risks' and the impact of post-discharge care on the study's power to detect a treatment effect tied specifically to ED-based interventions.

Key Response

90-day mortality captures late deaths that may be due to the sequelae of sepsis, but it also introduces noise from comorbidities and post-hospital care. A PhD-level analysis would critique whether an intervention lasting only 6 hours in the ED can realistically be expected to exert a statistically significant signal over a 90-day window, or if a more proximal endpoint (like organ-failure-free days) would have been more sensitive to the physiological impact of the protocol.

Journal Editor
Journal Editor

As a reviewer, how would you address the 'Hawthorne Effect' in the ARISE trial, specifically the concern that the clinicians providing 'usual care' were highly trained experts aware of the EGDT principles, thereby potentially 'contaminating' the control arm and biasing the results toward the null?

Key Response

This is a classic threat to internal validity in non-blinded behavioral or procedural trials. Editors look for how the authors defined 'usual care' and whether there were process measures (like volume of fluid or time to antibiotics) that showed the control group was actually performing 'EGDT-lite.' If the control group is too good, the trial becomes a test of 'Protocolized vs. Non-Protocolized High-Quality Care' rather than 'EGDT vs. Standard Practice.'

Guideline Committee
Guideline Committee

The Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) guidelines significantly shifted their recommendations following the ARISE, ProCESS, and ProMISe trials. Should current guidelines completely abandon the 6-hour bundle targets for CVP and ScvO2, or should they be maintained as 'weak recommendations' for specific clinical scenarios?

Key Response

The SSC 2016 and 2021 updates moved away from CVP/ScvO2 as mandatory targets. Guideline committees must balance the high-quality evidence from ARISE (which suggests no benefit) against the need to provide clinicians with alternative markers. The committee's rationale for moving toward dynamic measures (like skin re-capillary time or SV variation) is directly supported by the lack of superiority shown by the invasive targets in ARISE.

Clinical Landscape

Noteworthy Related Trials

2001

Rivers Early Goal-Directed Therapy

n = 263 · NEJM

Tested

Early goal-directed therapy (EGDT) protocol

Population

Patients presenting to the ED with severe sepsis or septic shock

Comparator

Standard care

Endpoint

In-hospital mortality

Key result: EGDT resulted in significantly lower in-hospital mortality compared to standard therapy.
2014

ProCESS Trial

n = 1,341 · NEJM

Tested

Protocol-based EGDT versus protocol-based standard therapy

Population

Patients with septic shock in the emergency department

Comparator

Usual care

Endpoint

60-day in-hospital mortality

Key result: There was no significant difference in 60-day mortality between the protocol-based EGDT and usual care groups.
2015

ProMISe Trial

n = 1,260 · NEJM

Tested

Early goal-directed therapy (EGDT)

Population

Patients with early septic shock in the United Kingdom

Comparator

Standard care

Endpoint

All-cause mortality at 90 days

Key result: EGDT did not result in lower mortality at 90 days compared to usual care.

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