New England Journal of Medicine February 11, 2021

Repurposed Antiviral Drugs for Covid-19 — Interim WHO Solidarity Trial Results

WHO Solidarity Trial Consortium (Hongchao Pan, Richard Peto, Ana-Maria Henao-Restrepo, et al.)

Bottom Line

The global WHO Solidarity platform trial demonstrated that four widely repurposed antiviral regimens—remdesivir, hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir, and interferon beta-1a—did not reduce in-hospital mortality, delay the need for mechanical ventilation, or shorten hospital stays in adults hospitalized with COVID-19.

Key Findings

1. Among 11,330 randomized adult inpatients, the overall Kaplan-Meier 28-day mortality was 11.8%, ranging from 39.0% among patients already receiving mechanical ventilation at randomization to 9.5% in those who were not.
2. Remdesivir did not significantly reduce in-hospital mortality compared to control, with death occurring in 301 of 2,743 patients on remdesivir versus 303 of 2,708 on control (Rate Ratio [RR] 0.95; 95% CI, 0.81-1.11; P=0.50).
3. Hydroxychloroquine demonstrated no survival benefit, with 104 deaths among 947 patients compared to 84 deaths among 906 in the control group (RR 1.19; 95% CI, 0.89-1.59; P=0.23).
4. Lopinavir yielded outcomes virtually identical to standard care, showing 148 deaths in 1,399 patients versus 146 deaths in 1,372 controls (RR 1.00; 95% CI, 0.79-1.25; P=0.97).
5. Interferon (with or without lopinavir) failed to improve survival, with 243 deaths among 2,050 patients compared to 216 deaths among 2,050 controls (RR 1.16; 95% CI, 0.96-1.39; P=0.11).
6. None of the four evaluated repurposed drugs significantly delayed the initiation of mechanical ventilation or reduced the duration of hospitalization.

Study Design

Design
Platform RCT
Open-Label
Sample
11,330
Patients
Duration
28 days
Median
Setting
30 countries
Population Adult inpatients hospitalized with COVID-19
Intervention Locally available repurposed antiviral regimens (remdesivir, hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir, or interferon beta-1a)
Comparator Local standard of care (open control)
Outcome In-hospital mortality

Study Limitations

The open-label pragmatic design inherently risks introducing bias regarding subjective secondary endpoints, such as the threshold for initiating mechanical ventilation or decisions regarding hospital discharge.
Substantial heterogeneity in the 'standard of care' control arms across 405 hospitals in 30 countries may have confounded results as baseline treatments evolved during the pandemic (e.g., the widespread integration of corticosteroids).
To enable massive scale and ease of execution in overwhelmed clinical settings, the trial gathered very sparse clinical data, entirely lacking detailed virologic monitoring, deep phenotyping, or comprehensive adverse event tracking.
A small degree of non-adherence (94% to 96% adherence rate) and protocol crossover (2% to 6%) occurred, which could theoretically attenuate observed treatment effects.
The evaluated regimens utilized established pharmacological dosages that were not newly optimized for SARS-CoV-2 viral dynamics or targeted specifically to early versus late phases of the infection.

Clinical Significance

The interim WHO Solidarity results definitively curbed the enthusiastic, empiric use of hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir, and interferon for COVID-19, proving them entirely ineffective for hospitalized patients. Furthermore, it contradicted the findings of smaller trials by demonstrating that remdesivir offers no significant mortality benefit for hospitalized patients, fundamentally shifting standard clinical guidelines and redirecting global research resources toward more viable targets such as immunomodulators and virus-specific monoclonal antibodies.

Historical Context

During the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020, extreme global panic and the absence of proven therapies led to the widespread off-label use of existing antiviral and antimalarial drugs, often justified by weak in vitro data or small, biased observational studies. In response, the WHO rapidly launched the unprecedented 'Solidarity' trial, an adaptive platform RCT designed to test these repurposed agents on a massive, multinational scale. By delivering definitively null mortality results, the trial was a landmark triumph of evidence-based medicine amidst global uncertainty, underscoring the absolute necessity of adequately powered randomized controlled trials even during public health emergencies.

Guided Discussion

High-yield insights from every perspective

Med Student
Medical Student

Based on their mechanisms of action, why were lopinavir/ritonavir and hydroxychloroquine initially hypothesized to be effective against SARS-CoV-2, and what does their failure in the Solidarity trial teach us about the translation of in vitro data to in vivo clinical efficacy?

Key Response

Lopinavir is an HIV protease inhibitor and hydroxychloroquine alters endosomal pH, both showing in vitro antiviral activity against SARS-CoV-2. However, their failure highlights a foundational pharmacology concept: achieving the necessary therapeutic concentrations in human lung tissue without causing prohibitive systemic toxicity is often impossible, explaining why promising in vitro results frequently fail in human trials.

Resident
Resident

If a hospitalized patient with COVID-19 asks to receive remdesivir, how do you explain the discrepancy between the ACTT-1 trial (which showed a reduced time to recovery) and the WHO Solidarity trial (which showed no mortality benefit), and how does this inform your shared decision-making?

Key Response

ACTT-1 was powered for and demonstrated a shorter time to clinical recovery, whereas the Solidarity trial was a massive pragmatic trial that showed no reduction in all-cause mortality. Residents must learn to differentiate between clinical endpoints (recovery time vs. mortality) when counseling patients and understand that an improvement in a surrogate or secondary endpoint does not guarantee a survival benefit in severe disease.

Fellow
Fellow

The Solidarity trial evaluated antivirals in hospitalized patients, many of whom were already requiring oxygen. How does the timing of antiviral administration relative to the pathophysiological phases of COVID-19 (viral replication vs. hyperinflammation) explain the lack of efficacy seen in this trial?

Key Response

Antivirals are most effective early in the disease course during the viral replication phase. By the time patients require hospitalization and supplemental oxygen, their pathophysiology is largely driven by an aberrant host immune response (hyperinflammation). This explains why immunomodulators (like dexamethasone) reduce mortality in severe disease, whereas late administration of antivirals like remdesivir or interferon fails.

Attending
Attending

The Solidarity trial was conducted globally during a crisis when there was immense pressure to offer unproven treatments. As an attending, how do you balance the psychological urge to 'do something' for a deteriorating patient against the scientific imperative to wait for definitive large-scale randomized trial data?

Key Response

Early in the pandemic, massive off-label use of hydroxychloroquine and convalescent plasma occurred based on low-quality evidence. The Solidarity trial reinforced the critical teaching point that 'do something' medicine can be useless or harmful, and that enrolling patients in randomized controlled trials remains the most ethical and effective approach to finding life-saving therapies, even during emergencies.

Scholarly Review

Critical appraisal through the lens of expert reviewers and guideline development

PhD
PhD

The WHO Solidarity trial utilized an open-label, adaptive design to maximize global enrollment and pragmatic execution. What are the major methodological threats to validity introduced by the lack of a placebo, particularly concerning endpoints like 'progression to mechanical ventilation' versus 'all-cause mortality'?

Key Response

While all-cause mortality is a hard, objective endpoint largely resistant to open-label bias, endpoints like 'need for mechanical ventilation' or 'hospital length of stay' are subjective. When providers know the treatment assignment, their thresholds for intubation or discharge can be subconsciously altered, potentially confounding these secondary outcomes and threatening internal validity.

Journal Editor
Journal Editor

As a peer reviewer evaluating the Solidarity trial's methodology, how do you assess the vast heterogeneity of the standard of care across hundreds of hospitals in over 30 countries, and does this 'noise' threaten the trial's internal validity or enhance its external validity?

Key Response

A critical reviewer would flag that baseline care (e.g., oxygen availability, threshold for intubation, concurrent steroid use) varied wildly across global sites. However, because randomization occurred locally within each site, the trial's internal validity is protected by block randomization, while the diverse settings provide massive external validity (generalizability) to the claim that these drugs do not universally prevent mortality.

Guideline Committee
Guideline Committee

Given the WHO Solidarity trial's definitive findings of no mortality benefit for remdesivir, how should current guidelines grade the evidence for its use in hospitalized patients, and how do you reconcile the WHO's recommendation against its use with the NIH/IDSA guidelines that still recommend it for specific subgroups?

Key Response

The WHO Guideline Development Group issued a conditional recommendation against remdesivir for hospitalized patients based heavily on the Solidarity trial's mortality data. In contrast, NIH/IDSA guidelines recommend it for early hospitalized patients on minimal supplemental oxygen based on ACTT-1 recovery time data. Committees must weigh the importance of a definitive lack of mortality benefit (Solidarity) against potential healthcare resource benefits like reduced hospital length of stay.

Clinical Landscape

Noteworthy Related Trials

2020

RECOVERY Trial

n = 11,500 · NEJM

Tested

Repurposed treatments including Dexamethasone, Hydroxychloroquine, and Lopinavir-Ritonavir

Population

Hospitalized patients with COVID-19

Comparator

Usual standard of care

Endpoint

28-day all-cause mortality

Key result: Dexamethasone reduced mortality in patients receiving respiratory support, while hydroxychloroquine and lopinavir-ritonavir showed no clinical benefit.
2020

ACTT-1 Trial

n = 1,062 · NEJM

Tested

Remdesivir 200mg loading dose followed by 100mg daily

Population

Hospitalized adults with COVID-19 and lower respiratory tract infection

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

Time to recovery within 29 days

Key result: Remdesivir was superior to placebo in shortening the time to recovery in hospitalized adults with COVID-19.
2021

TOGETHER Trial

n = 3,400 · NEJM

Tested

Repurposed drugs including Fluvoxamine, Ivermectin, and Hydroxychloroquine

Population

High-risk symptomatic adult outpatients with COVID-19

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

Emergency setting retention or hospitalization due to COVID-19

Key result: Demonstrated no clinical benefit for ivermectin or hydroxychloroquine, but showed a significant reduction in hospitalization for fluvoxamine.

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