The New England Journal of Medicine FEBRUARY 10, 2011

Apixaban in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Stuart J. Connolly, John Eikelboom, Salim Yusuf, et al.

Bottom Line

In patients with atrial fibrillation deemed unsuitable for vitamin K antagonist therapy, apixaban significantly reduced the risk of stroke or systemic embolism compared to aspirin without a significant increase in major bleeding.

Key Findings

1. The primary outcome of stroke or systemic embolism occurred at a rate of 1.6% per year in the apixaban group versus 3.7% per year in the aspirin group (hazard ratio [HR] 0.45; 95% CI, 0.32–0.62; P<0.001).
2. There was no significant difference in the risk of major bleeding between the apixaban and aspirin groups (1.4% vs. 1.2% per year; HR 1.13; 95% CI, 0.74–1.75; P=0.57).
3. The rate of cardiovascular hospitalizations was lower with apixaban compared to aspirin (12.6% vs. 15.9% per year, P<0.001).
4. Mortality showed a non-significant trend toward reduction with apixaban compared to aspirin (3.5% vs. 4.4% per year; HR 0.79; 95% CI, 0.62–1.02; P=0.07).

Study Design

Design
RCT
Double-Blind
Sample
5,599
Patients
Duration
1.1 yr
Median
Setting
Multicenter, international
Population Patients with atrial fibrillation and an increased risk of stroke for whom vitamin K antagonist therapy was considered unsuitable.
Intervention Apixaban (5 mg twice daily; 2.5 mg twice daily for select patients)
Comparator Aspirin (81 to 324 mg per day)
Outcome Composite of stroke or systemic embolism

Study Limitations

The trial was terminated early for efficacy, which may result in an overestimation of the treatment effect size.
The study population was specific to those deemed unsuitable for VKA therapy, which may limit generalizability to patients who are candidates for warfarin.
The mean follow-up of 1.1 years is relatively short for assessing long-term safety and efficacy.

Clinical Significance

The AVERROES trial established apixaban as an effective and well-tolerated alternative for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation who cannot or will not take warfarin, providing a clear benefit over aspirin without a significant penalty in major bleeding risk.

Historical Context

Prior to the development of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), warfarin was the standard of care for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation, but its use was limited by narrow therapeutic windows, the need for frequent INR monitoring, and bleeding risks. Aspirin was often used as a suboptimal alternative for patients unsuitable for warfarin. AVERROES was a landmark trial that defined the role of apixaban as an effective substitute for those unable to tolerate vitamin K antagonists.

Guided Discussion

High-yield insights from every perspective

Med Student
Medical Student

Compare the pharmacological mechanisms of apixaban and aspirin and explain why targeting the coagulation cascade is more effective than inhibiting platelet aggregation for preventing strokes in patients with atrial fibrillation.

Key Response

Apixaban is a direct factor Xa inhibitor that prevents the conversion of prothrombin to thrombin, thereby blocking the final common pathway of the coagulation cascade where fibrin clots are formed in the low-flow environment of the left atrial appendage. Aspirin inhibits cyclooxygenase-1, reducing platelet activation, which is primary in high-shear arterial environments (like atherosclerosis) but less effective against the stasis-driven red thrombi characteristic of AF-related embolic events.

Resident
Resident

The AVERROES trial included patients deemed 'unsuitable' for Vitamin K Antagonist (VKA) therapy. Based on the trial results, how should a resident approach a patient with a high CHA2DS2-VASc score who is hesitant to start anticoagulation due to a perceived high risk of bleeding on aspirin?

Key Response

The trial demonstrated that apixaban carries a similar risk of major bleeding to aspirin (1.4% vs 1.2% per year) while being significantly more effective at preventing stroke. Residents should use this data to counsel patients that aspirin is not a 'safer' alternative to apixaban in terms of hemorrhage, but it is a significantly less effective alternative for stroke prevention, effectively debunking the myth that aspirin is a benign placeholder for anticoagulation.

Fellow
Fellow

Discuss the implications of the AVERROES data on the 'net clinical benefit' for elderly patients with multiple comorbidities. Specifically, how do the results influence the management of patients who have previously failed VKA therapy due to labile INRs or minor bleeding complications?

Key Response

For patients who failed VKA, apixaban provides a stable pharmacokinetic profile without the need for monitoring. The net clinical benefit in AVERROES was overwhelmingly in favor of apixaban across all subgroups, including the elderly. This suggests that the 'unsuitability' for VKA—often driven by concerns over intracranial hemorrhage or falls—does not necessarily translate to an increased risk of bleeding with apixaban compared to the previous standard of care (aspirin).

Attending
Attending

How did the early termination of the AVERROES trial by the data monitoring committee fundamentally shift the standard of care for AF patients who were previously relegated to antiplatelet therapy?

Key Response

The trial was stopped early because the benefit of apixaban was so pronounced (HR 0.45 for stroke/systemic embolism) that continuing to provide aspirin to the control group was considered unethical. This practice-changing result essentially eliminated the role of aspirin in AF management guidelines for stroke prevention, as it proved that even 'frail' patients who couldn't tolerate warfarin derived a massive survival and morbidity benefit from direct factor Xa inhibition without a trade-off in major bleeding.

Scholarly Review

Critical appraisal through the lens of expert reviewers and guideline development

PhD
PhD

AVERROES was terminated early for efficacy. Critique the potential statistical bias introduced by early stopping in terms of the magnitude of the treatment effect and the 'overestimation' of the hazard ratio.

Key Response

Truncated trials often suffer from the 'random high' effect, where the observed treatment effect at the time of stopping may represent a peak in the data rather than the true long-term average. This can lead to an exaggerated estimate of efficacy and narrower confidence intervals than a full-term study might produce. However, the p-value in AVERROES (p<0.001) and the consistency across secondary endpoints suggest that while the effect size might be slightly optimistic, the fundamental superiority is robust.

Journal Editor
Journal Editor

The inclusion criterion 'unsuitable for VKA therapy' is highly subjective and varied by site investigator. How does this lack of a standardized definition for 'unsuitable' affect the generalizability and internal validity of the study?

Key Response

As an editor, the concern is selection bias. If investigators only enrolled patients they felt were 'safe' for any drug but 'annoying' for warfarin (e.g., poor compliance vs. actual high bleeding risk), the safety profile of apixaban might look better than it would in a truly high-risk bleeding population. The manuscript addresses this by categorizing reasons for unsuitability (e.g., INR monitoring, patient preference, physician judgment), but the lack of a physiological or objective biomarker for 'VKA unsuitability' remains a limitation for real-world application.

Guideline Committee
Guideline Committee

Based on the AVERROES findings, how should the strength of recommendation for aspirin be adjusted in AF guidelines for patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 or higher who cannot take warfarin?

Key Response

The AVERROES trial, alongside subsequent DOAC trials, led the ESC and AHA/ACC guidelines to downgrade aspirin to a Class III (Harm) or non-recommended status for stroke prevention in AF. Current guidelines (e.g., 2019 AHA/ACC/HRS and 2020 ESC) emphasize that aspirin is not an effective substitute for anticoagulation and should be avoided in favor of DOACs, even in patients considered at higher bleeding risk, because the risk-benefit ratio of aspirin is inferior to that of apixaban.

Clinical Landscape

Noteworthy Related Trials

2009

RE-LY Trial

n = 18,113 · NEJM

Tested

Dabigatran 110 mg or 150 mg twice daily

Population

Patients with atrial fibrillation at risk for stroke

Comparator

Warfarin

Endpoint

Stroke or systemic embolism

Key result: Dabigatran 150 mg was superior to warfarin in preventing stroke/embolism with similar bleeding risk, while 110 mg was non-inferior with lower major bleeding risk.
2011

ROCKET AF Trial

n = 14,264 · NEJM

Tested

Rivaroxaban 20 mg daily

Population

Patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation at moderate-to-high risk for stroke

Comparator

Warfarin

Endpoint

Composite of stroke or systemic embolism

Key result: Rivaroxaban was non-inferior to warfarin for the prevention of stroke or systemic embolism in patients with atrial fibrillation.
2011

ARISTOTLE Trial

n = 18,201 · NEJM

Tested

Apixaban 5 mg twice daily

Population

Patients with atrial fibrillation and at least one additional risk factor for stroke

Comparator

Warfarin

Endpoint

Stroke or systemic embolism

Key result: Apixaban was superior to warfarin in preventing stroke or systemic embolism, caused less bleeding, and resulted in lower mortality.

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