The New England Journal of Medicine September 22, 2022

Trial of Antisense Oligonucleotide Tofersen for SOD1 ALS (VALOR)

Timothy M. Miller, Merit E. Cudkowicz, Angela Genge et al.

Bottom Line

In patients with SOD1-mutated ALS, the antisense oligonucleotide tofersen did not significantly improve clinical function at 28 weeks but dramatically reduced plasma neurofilament light chain and CSF SOD1 levels.

Key Findings

1. Among the 60 patients with faster-progressing disease, the change in the ALSFRS-R score at week 28 was -6.98 with tofersen and -8.14 with placebo (difference of 1.2 points; 95% CI, -3.2 to 5.5; P=0.97), failing to meet the primary clinical endpoint [2.2.3].
2. Despite the lack of acute functional benefit, tofersen demonstrated robust biological target engagement by significantly reducing total CSF SOD1 protein concentrations and plasma neurofilament light (NfL) chain levels compared to placebo.
3. In a pre-specified 52-week combined analysis (including the open-label extension), participants who started tofersen early showed a slower decline in ALSFRS-R scores (-6.0 points) compared to those who started treatment 6 months later (-9.5 points).
4. Tofersen was associated with adverse events including procedural pain, headache, and cerebrospinal fluid pleocytosis, as well as rare but severe neurological events such as myelitis and radiculitis.

Study Design

Design
Phase 3 RCT
Double-Blind
Sample
108
Patients
Duration
28 wk
Median
Setting
Multicenter, global
Population Adults with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) associated with confirmed mutations in the SOD1 gene.
Intervention Intrathecal tofersen 100 mg (8 doses administered over a 24-week period).
Comparator Intrathecal placebo matched to the 24-week dosing schedule.
Outcome Change from baseline to week 28 in the total score on the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-R) among participants predicted to have faster-progressing disease.

Study Limitations

The trial failed to meet its primary clinical endpoint at 28 weeks, rendering subsequent functional efficacy observations in the open-label extension formally exploratory and susceptible to survivor or selection bias.
The 28-week randomized, double-blind period may have been too short to detect a significant divergence in clinical disease progression, given the mechanism of action and the disease's natural history.
The requirement for repeated intrathecal injections is burdensome for patients with advanced neuromuscular weakness and carries inherent procedural risks.
The study population was restricted exclusively to patients with SOD1 mutations, which account for only about 2% of the overall ALS population, limiting the generalizability of the findings to sporadic ALS.

Clinical Significance

Although the VALOR trial failed to demonstrate a statistically significant immediate clinical benefit in its primary functional outcome, the robust suppression of plasma neurofilament light chain—a well-established and sensitive biomarker of neurodegeneration and axonal injury—provided compelling evidence of disease modification. This profound biomarker response fundamentally shifted the regulatory paradigm, leading the FDA to grant tofersen (Qalsody) accelerated approval in 2023. It marks a landmark moment for genetically targeted therapies in ALS and establishes neurofilament as a viable surrogate endpoint in fatal neurodegenerative disease trials.

Historical Context

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a devastating, uniformly fatal motor neuron disease. Historically, treatments like riluzole and edaravone have offered only modest survival or functional benefits. In 1993, mutations in the SOD1 gene were identified as the first genetic cause of ALS, driving decades of research into targeting this toxic gain-of-function mutation. Tofersen, an antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) designed to degrade mutant SOD1 mRNA, represents the culmination of this molecular research. Its development trajectory has pioneered a new era of precision medicine in ALS neurology.

Guided Discussion

High-yield insights from every perspective

Med Student
Medical Student

How does the antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) tofersen work at the molecular level to treat SOD1-mutated ALS, and why is neurofilament light chain (NfL) utilized as a biomarker in this context?

Key Response

Tofersen binds to SOD1 mRNA, triggering its degradation by RNase H, thereby reducing the synthesis of toxic mutant SOD1 protein. NfL is a structural protein in neurons; its release into plasma or CSF indicates axonal degeneration, making it a highly sensitive biomarker for active neuronal damage in ALS.

Resident
Resident

Given the VALOR trial findings, how does this impact the initial diagnostic workup of a new patient presenting with ALS, and how do you interpret the negative 28-week clinical endpoint when counseling patients?

Key Response

The advent of targeted therapies like tofersen makes early genetic testing (especially for SOD1) essential in all newly diagnosed ALS patients, regardless of family history. Residents must counsel that while clinical symptoms (ALSFRS-R) did not improve at 28 weeks, the profound drop in biomarkers suggests the disease process is being modified, which may translate to delayed clinical stabilization.

Fellow
Fellow

Tofersen dramatically reduced CSF SOD1 and plasma NfL without meeting its primary clinical endpoint (ALSFRS-R) at 28 weeks. How do you explain this clinico-biomarker dissociation, and what are the implications for the timeline of neurorecovery versus neurodegeneration?

Key Response

This dissociation highlights a lag effect common in neurodegenerative trials. Biomarkers of active injury (NfL) drop quickly once the toxic insult is removed, but clinical function may take much longer to stabilize due to the slow clearance of existing toxic aggregates or may never recover if motor neuron loss is already irreversible. This emphasizes the critical need for very early or pre-symptomatic intervention.

Attending
Attending

Tofersen received accelerated FDA approval based primarily on biomarker data rather than clinical efficacy at 28 weeks. As an attending, how do you navigate shared decision-making regarding the risks of intrathecal administration versus the anticipated but unproven long-term clinical benefits?

Key Response

Attendings must balance the hope offered by a novel, biologically rational therapy against the reality of a negative short-term clinical trial. Shared decision-making must explicitly cover the burdens of monthly lumbar punctures, the risk of procedure-related complications or myelitis, and the uncertainty of long-term functional preservation versus immediate biomarker improvements.

Scholarly Review

Critical appraisal through the lens of expert reviewers and guideline development

PhD
PhD

The VALOR trial utilized a 28-week randomized phase followed by an open-label extension, which later suggested a delayed clinical benefit. Critically evaluate the choice of a 28-week primary endpoint for a neurodegenerative disease trial; how should future ASO trials statistically model and design their timelines to capture delayed treatment effects?

Key Response

A 28-week endpoint is often too short to detect clinical changes in diseases with variable progression rates and irreversible damage. Future trials might benefit from delayed-start designs, joint modeling of longitudinal biomarkers and survival data, or longer primary randomized periods to adequately power for clinical divergence once the biomarker lag effect resolves.

Journal Editor
Journal Editor

The regulatory success of tofersen heavily relied on neurofilament light chain (NfL) as a surrogate endpoint. As a peer reviewer, what methodological evidence would you demand to validate NfL as a true surrogate for clinical benefit in ALS, rather than merely a pharmacodynamic marker of target engagement?

Key Response

A reviewer should demand statistical validation using criteria such as the Prentice criteria or trial-level meta-regression to prove that a change in NfL reliably predicts a change in the clinical endpoint (ALSFRS-R or survival). Proving target engagement (lowered SOD1) and reduced damage (lowered NfL) does not automatically guarantee that downstream clinical decline is averted.

Guideline Committee
Guideline Committee

Based on the VALOR trial and the FDA's accelerated approval pathway, how should current ALS clinical practice guidelines be updated regarding the recommendation strength for universal genetic testing and the initiation of tofersen in SOD1-ALS?

Key Response

Guidelines must upgrade the recommendation for SOD1 genetic testing from a consideration in familial cases to a strong recommendation for all ALS patients. The committee must assign a recommendation strength for tofersen (e.g., conditional) by weighing the high certainty of biomarker reduction against the moderate-to-low certainty of short-term clinical benefit, acknowledging the open-label extension data showing longer-term survival trends.

Clinical Landscape

Noteworthy Related Trials

1994

Riluzole ALS Trial

n = 155 · NEJM

Tested

Riluzole 100 mg daily

Population

Patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

Survival (time to death or tracheostomy)

Key result: Riluzole significantly prolonged survival and time to tracheostomy compared to placebo.
2017

Edaravone Phase 3 Trial

n = 137 · Lancet Neurol

Tested

Edaravone 60 mg IV

Population

ALS patients with early-stage disease and preserved respiratory function

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

Change in ALSFRS-R score at 24 weeks

Key result: Edaravone resulted in a significantly smaller decline in the ALSFRS-R score compared to placebo.
2020

CENTAUR Trial

n = 137 · NEJM

Tested

Sodium phenylbutyrate-taurursodiol (AMX0035)

Population

Patients with definite ALS

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

Rate of decline in ALSFRS-R score

Key result: AMX0035 slowed the rate of functional decline significantly compared to placebo over 24 weeks.

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