The New England Journal of Medicine OCTOBER 03, 2013

Saxagliptin and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Benjamin M. Scirica, Deepak L. Bhatt, Eugene Braunwald, et al.

Bottom Line

In patients with type 2 diabetes at high cardiovascular risk, the DPP-4 inhibitor saxagliptin was non-inferior to placebo for major adverse cardiovascular events but was associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for heart failure.

Key Findings

1. The primary endpoint of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal ischemic stroke occurred in 7.3% of the saxagliptin group compared to 7.2% in the placebo group (hazard ratio 1.00; 95% CI 0.89 to 1.12; P<0.001 for noninferiority; P=0.99 for superiority).
2. Patients in the saxagliptin group experienced a significantly higher rate of hospitalization for heart failure (3.5% vs. 2.8%; hazard ratio 1.27; 95% CI 1.07 to 1.51; P=0.007).
3. Saxagliptin provided modest improvement in glycemic control, with a lower HbA1c level at 2 years compared to placebo (7.5% vs. 7.8%; P<0.001).
4. There was a higher rate of hypoglycemia in the saxagliptin group compared to the placebo group (15.3% vs. 13.4%; P<0.001), though this did not result in an increase in hospitalizations for hypoglycemia.

Study Design

Design
RCT
Double-Blind
Sample
16,492
Patients
Duration
2.1 yr
Median
Setting
Multicenter, International
Population Patients with type 2 diabetes and either established cardiovascular disease or multiple risk factors for vascular disease.
Intervention Saxagliptin 5 mg daily (or 2.5 mg for patients with eGFR ≤50 mL/min).
Comparator Placebo
Outcome Composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal ischemic stroke.

Study Limitations

The median follow-up of 2.1 years may be insufficient to capture long-term cardiovascular benefits or risks.
The trial was not designed to evaluate the mechanism behind the increased risk of heart failure hospitalization.
The population consisted of patients with established cardiovascular disease or multiple risk factors, limiting the generalizability to lower-risk populations with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes.

Clinical Significance

The trial confirmed the cardiovascular safety of saxagliptin regarding major ischemic events but raised a critical safety signal regarding an increased risk of hospitalization for heart failure, prompting caution when prescribing DPP-4 inhibitors to patients with a history of or risk factors for heart failure.

Historical Context

SAVOR-TIMI 53 was one of the first cardiovascular outcomes trials mandated by the U.S. FDA to assess the safety of new glucose-lowering therapies for type 2 diabetes following concerns over potential cardiovascular risks, specifically those raised by the rosiglitazone meta-analysis.

Guided Discussion

High-yield insights from every perspective

Med Student
Medical Student

Based on the mechanism of Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors like saxagliptin, why was it hypothesized that these drugs might have cardiovascular benefits beyond simple glucose lowering?

Key Response

DPP-4 inhibitors increase the levels of Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 (GLP-1). Beyond its role in insulin secretion, GLP-1 receptors are expressed in the heart and vasculature, where they may improve endothelial function, reduce inflammation, and provide a direct cardioprotective effect. This foundational concept led to the expectation that DPP-4 inhibitors might reduce Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE), which SAVOR-TIMI 53 was designed to test.

Resident
Resident

A 68-year-old patient with Type 2 Diabetes and a history of ischemic cardiomyopathy (EF 35%) requires an additional agent for glycemic control. Given the results of the SAVOR-TIMI 53 trial, why would saxagliptin be a suboptimal choice compared to other modern anti-diabetic classes?

Key Response

While SAVOR-TIMI 53 established non-inferiority for MACE (CV death, MI, stroke), it revealed a statistically significant 27% increase in the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (hHF). In patients with pre-existing heart failure or low ejection fraction, this safety signal makes saxagliptin a less desirable choice than SGLT2 inhibitors (like empagliflozin or dapagliflozin) or GLP-1 receptor agonists, which have demonstrated heart failure benefits or cardiovascular safety respectively.

Fellow
Fellow

The SAVOR-TIMI 53 trial observed an unexpected increase in heart failure hospitalizations. Contrast this finding with the results of the TECOS (sitagliptin) and EXAMINE (alogliptin) trials; is this risk considered a class effect of DPP-4 inhibitors or drug-specific?

Key Response

The signal for heart failure appears heterogeneous within the class. SAVOR-TIMI 53 (saxagliptin) showed a clear increase (3.5% vs. 2.8%), and EXAMINE (alogliptin) showed a non-significant trend toward increased HF. However, TECOS (sitagliptin) and CARMELINA (linagliptin) showed no such signal. While clinical guidelines often apply a general caution to saxagliptin and alogliptin specifically in HF patients, sitagliptin and linagliptin are generally viewed as safer alternatives from a heart failure perspective.

Attending
Attending

SAVOR-TIMI 53 was one of the first major trials to meet the 2008 FDA mandate for cardiovascular safety. How did the 'neutrality' of this trial regarding MACE, despite achieving glycemic separation, reshape our understanding of the 'glucose-centric' model of cardiovascular risk reduction?

Key Response

This trial was pivotal in demonstrating that simply lowering HbA1c with a new agent does not automatically translate to reduced macrovascular complications. It highlighted that the cardiovascular effect of a drug is independent of its glucose-lowering potency. This shifted the focus from 'treat-to-target HbA1c' to choosing specific agents with proven outcome benefits, paving the way for the prioritization of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 RAs in high-risk patients.

Scholarly Review

Critical appraisal through the lens of expert reviewers and guideline development

PhD
PhD

The hospitalization for heart failure (hHF) signal in SAVOR-TIMI 53 was a secondary endpoint and was not adjusted for multiplicity. What are the statistical implications of this finding, and how should researchers design future CVOTs to prevent 'false positive' safety signals while ensuring public safety?

Key Response

When multiple secondary endpoints are tested without a hierarchical testing procedure or Bonferroni correction, the risk of a Type I error (false positive) increases. While the hHF signal was robust (p=0.007), its post-hoc nature necessitates caution. Future trials (and many subsequent ones like DECLARE-TIMI 58) began incorporating heart failure as a part of a primary composite or a strictly adjudicated co-primary endpoint to ensure statistical rigor in identifying these risks.

Journal Editor
Journal Editor

In the appraisal of the SAVOR-TIMI 53 manuscript, how does the lack of a standardized, pre-specified definition for 'heart failure hospitalization' across all study sites potentially threaten the internal validity of the unexpected safety signal identified?

Key Response

If 'heart failure' was not a primary endpoint, the criteria for its diagnosis might not have been as rigorously adjudicated as MI or Stroke. This introduces the risk of detection bias, especially if clinicians were aware of the patient's glycemic status or other side effects. A tough reviewer would question if the hHF signal was driven by fluid retention (similar to TZDs) or a true increase in myocardial dysfunction, and would demand a detailed post-hoc adjudication by a blinded committee.

Guideline Committee
Guideline Committee

How do the findings of SAVOR-TIMI 53 specifically influence the ADA Standards of Care and the ESC guidelines regarding the hierarchy of second-line therapy for T2DM in patients with high CV risk?

Key Response

SAVOR-TIMI 53 directly led to the ADA and ESC 'Warning and Precaution' for saxagliptin in patients with heart failure. Specifically, current ADA guidelines (Section 9) state that saxagliptin should be avoided in patients with heart failure. Because SAVOR-TIMI 53 proved non-inferiority but not superiority for MACE, DPP-4 inhibitors as a class are now positioned below SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 RAs for patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or HF.

Clinical Landscape

Noteworthy Related Trials

2013

EXAMINE Trial

n = 5,380 · NEJM

Tested

Alogliptin

Population

T2DM patients with recent acute coronary syndrome

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

3-point MACE

Key result: Alogliptin was non-inferior to placebo with respect to the primary endpoint of major adverse cardiovascular events.
2015

TECOS Trial

n = 14,671 · NEJM

Tested

Sitagliptin

Population

T2DM patients with established cardiovascular disease

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

4-point MACE

Key result: Sitagliptin did not increase the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events or hospitalization for heart failure.
2015

EMPA-REG OUTCOME Trial

n = 7,020 · NEJM

Tested

Empagliflozin

Population

T2DM patients at high cardiovascular risk

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

3-point MACE

Key result: Empagliflozin significantly reduced cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure compared to placebo.

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