New England Journal of Medicine JUNE 13, 2019

Canagliflozin and Renal Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes and Nephropathy (CREDENCE)

Vlado Perkovic, Meg J. Jardine, Bruce Neal, et al. (CREDENCE Trial Investigators)

Bottom Line

The CREDENCE trial demonstrated that in patients with type 2 diabetes and albuminuric chronic kidney disease, canagliflozin significantly reduced the risk of a composite of end-stage kidney disease, doubling of serum creatinine, or renal or cardiovascular death compared to placebo.

Key Findings

1. Canagliflozin significantly reduced the primary composite endpoint of end-stage kidney disease, doubling of serum creatinine, or renal or cardiovascular death by 30% (hazard ratio 0.70; 95% confidence interval 0.59 to 0.82; p=0.00001), with event rates of 43.2 versus 61.2 per 1,000 patient-years.
2. The risk of the composite of end-stage kidney disease, doubling of serum creatinine, and death due to renal causes was significantly lower in the canagliflozin group (hazard ratio 0.66; 95% CI 0.53 to 0.81).
3. Canagliflozin reduced the risk of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke (hazard ratio 0.80; 95% CI 0.67 to 0.95; p=0.01) and specifically lowered the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (hazard ratio 0.61; 95% CI 0.47 to 0.80; p<0.001).
4. There were no statistically significant differences between groups for risks of amputation or bone fractures.

Study Design

Design
RCT
Double-Blind
Sample
4,401
Patients
Duration
2.62 yr
Median
Setting
Multicenter, international
Population Adults with type 2 diabetes, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 30 to <90 mL/min/1.73 m2, and albuminuria (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio >300 to 5,000 mg/g), receiving a stable, maximized dose of an ACE inhibitor or ARB.
Intervention Canagliflozin 100 mg daily
Comparator Matching placebo
Outcome Composite of end-stage kidney disease (dialysis, transplantation, or sustained eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m2), doubling of serum creatinine, or death from renal or cardiovascular causes.

Study Limitations

The trial was terminated early based on a planned interim analysis, which may theoretically overstate the magnitude of the effect.
Generalizability is limited to the specific population studied (type 2 diabetes, established albuminuric CKD, on baseline RAS blockade); outcomes in patients with lower albuminuria or advanced renal impairment (eGFR <30) remain less certain.
The study focused exclusively on diabetic nephropathy, not addressing benefits in non-diabetic chronic kidney disease.

Clinical Significance

CREDENCE provided definitive evidence that SGLT2 inhibitors offer significant renal-protective benefits in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease, transforming the standard of care for preventing progression to end-stage kidney disease when added to maximized RAS inhibition.

Historical Context

Prior to CREDENCE, SGLT2 inhibitors showed consistent cardiovascular benefits in large outcome trials (e.g., EMPA-REG OUTCOME, CANVAS, DECLARE-TIMI 58), but their direct efficacy in preventing renal disease progression in a dedicated population with established nephropathy had not been prospectively confirmed until this landmark trial.

Guided Discussion

High-yield insights from every perspective

Med Student
Medical Student

What is the physiological mechanism by which SGLT2 inhibitors like canagliflozin reduce intraglomerular pressure, and why is this protective in diabetic nephropathy?

Key Response

SGLT2 inhibitors block sodium reabsorption in the proximal tubule, increasing sodium delivery to the macula densa. This restores tubuloglomerular feedback, leading to afferent arteriolar vasoconstriction. In diabetes, the kidney is often in a state of hyperfiltration due to afferent dilation; by reversing this, canagliflozin reduces the mechanical stress and barotrauma on the glomerulus, slowing the progression of albuminuria and fibrosis.

Resident
Resident

In a patient with Type 2 Diabetes and an eGFR of 35 mL/min/1.73m² who is already on a maximally tolerated ACE inhibitor, how should you interpret a 15% drop in eGFR four weeks after starting canagliflozin?

Key Response

Similar to the 'ACE-inhibitor dip,' SGLT2 inhibitors cause an initial functional decline in eGFR (hemodynamic dip) due to the reduction in intraglomerular pressure. In the CREDENCE trial, this was expected and not associated with acute kidney injury. A dip of less than 30% without other signs of volume depletion or electrolyte imbalance is generally considered a sign of successful hemodynamic engagement and should not lead to discontinuation of the drug.

Fellow
Fellow

While CREDENCE focused on albuminuric CKD (UACR >300 mg/g), how do these findings integrate with the earlier CANVAS program data regarding the risk of lower-limb amputations and fractures?

Key Response

The CANVAS trial previously raised concerns regarding a potential increased risk of amputations and fractures with canagliflozin. However, CREDENCE—which utilized a similar population but with more advanced renal disease—did not find a significant difference in amputation or fracture rates between the canagliflozin and placebo groups. This suggests that the risks observed in CANVAS may have been due to chance or specific study protocols rather than a class effect or a consistent drug-related toxicity.

Attending
Attending

How does the CREDENCE trial shift the management paradigm for diabetic kidney disease from 'glucocentric' to 'organ-protective'?

Key Response

For nearly two decades, RAS blockade was the only evidence-based intervention for slowing CKD progression in diabetes. CREDENCE proved that SGLT2 inhibitors provide profound renal and cardiovascular benefits that are largely independent of their glucose-lowering effect (which is minimal at lower eGFRs). This mandates a shift where these agents are prescribed specifically for kidney and heart failure protection, regardless of whether a patient's HbA1c is already at target.

Scholarly Review

Critical appraisal through the lens of expert reviewers and guideline development

PhD
PhD

The CREDENCE trial was stopped early following a planned interim analysis by the Independent Data Monitoring Committee. What are the statistical risks associated with early termination for efficacy, and how does the magnitude of the p-value ($p=0.00001$) mitigate these concerns?

Key Response

Early termination can lead to 'the winner's curse,' where the treatment effect size (hazard ratio) is overestimated. However, the extreme statistical significance and the consistency of the secondary outcomes in CREDENCE suggest that the observed 30% reduction in the primary composite endpoint is robust and unlikely to be a result of random fluctuation caught at a peak of benefit.

Journal Editor
Journal Editor

Despite the landmark status of CREDENCE, what are the primary limitations regarding its external validity (generalizability) for the total population of patients with chronic kidney disease?

Key Response

The trial strictly included patients with albuminuric CKD (UACR 300-5000 mg/g) and Type 2 Diabetes. This leaves questions about the efficacy of canagliflozin in 'non-proteinuric' diabetic kidney disease (a growing phenotype) and non-diabetic CKD etiologies (such as IgA nephropathy or hypertensive nephrosclerosis). Furthermore, the exclusion of patients with recent immunosuppressive therapy for glomerular disease limits its application in the glomerulonephritis population.

Guideline Committee
Guideline Committee

Based on the CREDENCE data, should SGLT2 inhibitors be elevated to a Level 1A recommendation for patients with Type 2 Diabetes and CKD, and how does this compare to the 2019/2020 KDIGO and ADA standards?

Key Response

CREDENCE provided the definitive evidence needed to upgrade SGLT2 inhibitors to a Grade A, Level 1 recommendation. Current KDIGO guidelines now recommend an SGLT2i as first-line therapy (alongside metformin) for patients with T2DM and CKD with an eGFR ≥20 mL/min/1.73m². This reflects a transition from seeing SGLT2is as third-line glucose-lowering agents to foundational 'disease-modifying' therapies for renal preservation.

Clinical Landscape

Noteworthy Related Trials

2015

EMPA-REG OUTCOME

n = 7,020 · NEJM

Tested

Empagliflozin 10mg or 25mg daily

Population

T2DM patients with established cardiovascular disease

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

3-point MACE (CV death, nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke)

Key result: Empagliflozin significantly reduced the rate of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure.
2017

CANVAS Program

n = 10,142 · NEJM

Tested

Canagliflozin 100mg or 300mg daily

Population

T2DM patients at high cardiovascular risk

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

3-point MACE

Key result: Canagliflozin reduced the risk of MACE and showed a potential benefit in slowing the progression of albuminuria.
2020

DAPA-CKD

n = 4,304 · NEJM

Tested

Dapagliflozin 10mg daily

Population

Patients with CKD (eGFR 25-75) with or without T2DM

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

Composite of sustained eGFR decline >=50%, ESRD, or renal/CV death

Key result: Dapagliflozin reduced the risk of kidney disease progression and cardiovascular death in patients with CKD.

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