The Lancet JULY 13, 2019

Dulaglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes (REWIND): a double-blind, randomised placebo-controlled trial

Hertzel C. Gerstein, Hertzel C. Gerstein, H.M. Colhoun, G.R. Dagenais, et al. (The REWIND Investigators)

Bottom Line

The REWIND trial demonstrated that once-weekly subcutaneous dulaglutide significantly reduced the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in a broad population of middle-aged and older adults with type 2 diabetes, most of whom did not have established cardiovascular disease.

Key Findings

1. Dulaglutide reduced the primary composite outcome (non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or cardiovascular death) compared to placebo, occurring in 12.0% of the dulaglutide group versus 13.4% of the placebo group (hazard ratio [HR] 0.88; 95% CI 0.79–0.99; p=0.026).
2. The benefit was achieved despite a lower proportion of participants with established cardiovascular disease (31%) compared to many other cardiovascular outcome trials in diabetes.
3. All-cause mortality did not differ significantly between the groups (10.8% with dulaglutide vs 12.0% with placebo; HR 0.90; 95% CI 0.80–1.01; p=0.067).
4. Gastrointestinal adverse events were significantly more common in the dulaglutide arm (47.4%) compared to the placebo arm (34.1%; p<0.0001).

Study Design

Design
RCT
Double-Blind
Sample
9,901
Patients
Duration
5.4 yr
Median
Setting
Multicenter, international
Population Men and women aged at least 50 years with type 2 diabetes and either previous cardiovascular disease or cardiovascular risk factors.
Intervention Once-weekly subcutaneous injection of dulaglutide (1.5 mg).
Comparator Once-weekly subcutaneous injection of matching placebo.
Outcome First occurrence of the composite endpoint of non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or cardiovascular death.

Study Limitations

The study was event-driven and the primary outcome just reached statistical significance, suggesting the result is sensitive to the study's duration and event count.
Gastrointestinal side effects were significantly higher in the intervention group, which may affect long-term adherence in real-world clinical practice.
While the population was broader than previous trials, it remains specific to patients aged 50 and older with either previous CV disease or risk factors, limiting generalizability to younger patients without these risks.
The primary endpoint was a composite, and the benefit was driven by individual components differently, with non-fatal stroke showing a distinct benefit (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.61–0.95).

Clinical Significance

The REWIND trial expanded the evidence base for GLP-1 receptor agonists by demonstrating cardiovascular benefit in a lower-risk primary prevention population, supporting the clinical use of dulaglutide as a disease-modifying therapy beyond glycemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Historical Context

Prior to REWIND, cardiovascular outcome trials for GLP-1 receptor agonists (such as LEADER for liraglutide and SUSTAIN-6 for semaglutide) predominantly enrolled patients with established cardiovascular disease. REWIND was unique in its design by targeting a wider, older population with a higher proportion of participants who had cardiovascular risk factors but not prior cardiovascular events.

Guided Discussion

High-yield insights from every perspective

Med Student
Medical Student

What is the physiological mechanism by which glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists like dulaglutide improve glycemic control, and how might these mechanisms indirectly contribute to the reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE)?

Key Response

GLP-1 agonists stimulate glucose-dependent insulin secretion, inhibit glucagon release, and slow gastric emptying. Beyond glycemic control, they promote weight loss, lower systolic blood pressure, and exert direct anti-inflammatory effects on the vascular endothelium, all of which likely contribute to the cardiovascular benefits observed in the REWIND trial.

Resident
Resident

The REWIND trial is unique among GLP-1 receptor agonist CVOTs due to its patient population. How does the proportion of patients with established cardiovascular disease in REWIND compare to the LEADER or SUSTAIN-6 trials, and how should this influence your management of a 60-year-old patient with T2DM and hypertension but no prior MI or stroke?

Key Response

Only 31.5% of REWIND participants had established CVD, compared to 81.3% in LEADER (liraglutide) and 73% in SUSTAIN-6 (semaglutide). REWIND provides the strongest evidence yet for the use of GLP-1 RAs in primary prevention for high-risk patients, suggesting we should consider these agents earlier in the disease course rather than waiting for a clinical event.

Fellow
Fellow

In the REWIND trial, the hazard ratio for the primary MACE outcome was 0.88. Upon analyzing the individual components of the composite endpoint, which component showed the most robust reduction, and what does this suggest about the potential organ-specific protective effects of dulaglutide compared to SGLT2 inhibitors?

Key Response

The benefit was largely driven by a reduction in non-fatal stroke (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.61-0.95), while cardiovascular death and MI were not significantly reduced individually. This contrasts with SGLT2 inhibitors, which often show more pronounced benefits in heart failure and CV death, suggesting GLP-1 RAs may have a distinct role in neuroprotection or atherosclerotic stabilization.

Attending
Attending

Given the median follow-up of 5.4 years in REWIND—longer than most other GLP-1 RA trials—how does this extended duration impact your interpretation of the drug's safety profile and its long-term cost-effectiveness in a lower-risk primary prevention cohort?

Key Response

The longer follow-up provides greater confidence in the safety profile regarding rare events like medullary thyroid cancer or pancreatitis. From a cost-effectiveness perspective, while the absolute risk reduction is smaller in primary prevention, the long-term cumulative benefit in preventing stroke and renal decline may justify early intensive therapy in younger, high-risk populations.

Scholarly Review

Critical appraisal through the lens of expert reviewers and guideline development

PhD
PhD

REWIND utilized a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled design with a focus on 'real-world' representativeness. How does the trial's inclusion of a higher percentage of female participants and a lower baseline HbA1c (median 7.2%) impact the external validity and statistical power compared to trials that recruited higher-risk, more hyperglycemic cohorts?

Key Response

Including women (46%) and those with lower baseline HbA1c enhances generalizability to the broader T2DM population. However, a lower-risk population results in a lower event rate, requiring a longer study duration (5.4 years) and a larger sample size to achieve sufficient power to detect a significant difference in MACE compared to the placebo group.

Journal Editor
Journal Editor

The primary outcome HR in REWIND was 0.88 with a 95% CI of 0.79 to 0.99 (p=0.026). As a reviewer, how would you address the fragility of this p-value in the context of the trial’s massive sample size and the potential for a 'null' result if only a few events had shifted?

Key Response

The upper bound of 0.99 is very close to 1.0, indicating that the result, while statistically significant, is not highly robust. A reviewer would flag this 'marginal' significance and insist on a clear discussion of the effect size's clinical significance versus its statistical significance, especially given the costs and side effects of lifelong injectable therapy.

Guideline Committee
Guideline Committee

Based on the REWIND findings, should the ADA Standards of Care be updated to recommend GLP-1 RAs for all patients over 50 with T2DM and at least one additional risk factor, regardless of baseline HbA1c or CVD status?

Key Response

Current ADA guidelines (referencing REWIND) already moved toward recommending GLP-1 RAs with proven CV benefit for patients with multiple risk factors (primary prevention). REWIND's evidence supports a Level A recommendation for this broader group, shifting the focus from 'glucose-lowering' to 'organ-protection' regardless of the initial A1c level.

Clinical Landscape

Noteworthy Related Trials

2015

EMPA-REG OUTCOME Trial

n = 7,020 · NEJM

Tested

Empagliflozin 10/25mg daily

Population

T2DM patients with established CVD

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

3-point MACE

Key result: Empagliflozin treatment resulted in significantly lower rates of death from cardiovascular causes and hospitalization for heart failure.
2016

LEADER Trial

n = 9,340 · NEJM

Tested

Liraglutide 1.8mg daily

Population

T2DM patients with high CV risk

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

3-point MACE

Key result: Liraglutide significantly reduced the risk of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke compared to placebo.
2016

SUSTAIN-6 Trial

n = 3,297 · NEJM

Tested

Semaglutide 0.5/1.0mg weekly

Population

T2DM patients with high CV risk

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoint

3-point MACE

Key result: Semaglutide significantly reduced the risk of 3-point MACE, driven primarily by a reduction in the rate of nonfatal stroke.

Tailored to your role

Want this tailored to you?

Add your specialty or training stage to get role-specific takeaways and more questions.

Personalize this analysis