JAMA October 19, 2026

Individualized Cardiac Index–Guided Hemodynamic Therapy in High-Risk Patients Undergoing Elective Major Abdominal Surgery

Bernd Saugel et al.

Bottom Line

In high-risk patients undergoing elective major abdominal surgery, individualized goal-directed hemodynamic therapy targeting the patient's preoperative resting cardiac index did not significantly reduce the 7-day incidence of a composite of major organ injury, severe infection, or death compared with routine hemodynamic therapy.

Key Findings

1. The primary composite outcome (acute kidney injury, acute myocardial injury, severe infectious complications, nonfatal cardiac arrest, or death) occurred in 44.3% (243 of 549) of the individualized cardiac index-guided therapy group compared to 46.9% (256 of 546) of the routine therapy group.
2. There was no statistically significant difference in the primary composite outcome between the two groups (relative risk, 0.94 [95.1% CI, 0.83-1.08]; P = .38).
3. There were no significant between-group differences in the incidence of any individual components of the primary composite outcome within the first 7 postoperative days.

Study Design

Design
Randomized Clinical Trial
Single-Blind
Sample
1,111
Patients
Duration
7 days
Median
Setting
12 centers, Europe
Population High-risk patients undergoing elective major abdominal surgery (median age, 67 years; 49.4% female)
Intervention Individualized cardiac index-guided hemodynamic therapy targeting the patient's preoperative resting cardiac index
Comparator Routine hemodynamic therapy with blinded cardiac index monitoring
Outcome Composite of acute kidney injury, acute myocardial injury, severe infectious complications, nonfatal cardiac arrest, or death within the first 7 postoperative days

Study Limitations

• The trial utilized a single-blind design where clinicians administering the intraoperative therapy were aware of the treatment assignment.
• Routine hemodynamic therapy, which served as the active control, may have varied substantially across the 12 participating centers.
• The use of a composite primary outcome might obscure diverging effects on individual complications.
• The primary outcome assessment was limited to the first 7 postoperative days, which may have missed longer-term complications or mortality.

Clinical Significance

The results of this trial do not support the routine use of individualized cardiac index-guided hemodynamic optimization over standard intraoperative care in high-risk patients undergoing major abdominal surgery. The findings demonstrate the general adequacy of modern routine perioperative hemodynamic management and suggest that introducing more complex, individualized monitoring protocols for specific cardiac index targets does not yield short-term clinical outcome benefits in this population.

Historical Context

Goal-directed hemodynamic therapy (GDHT) has been a heavily debated concept in perioperative medicine for decades, historically pioneered by Shoemaker to maximize oxygen delivery and minimize tissue hypoperfusion. While earlier, smaller trials suggested that GDHT could substantially reduce postoperative complications and mortality in high-risk surgical patients, recent large-scale, pragmatic, multicenter randomized controlled trials (such as OPTIMISE and OPTIMISE II) have increasingly demonstrated null results when comparing algorithm-based hemodynamic therapy to modern routine care. The PELICAN trial builds upon this ongoing debate by evaluating a highly tailored approach—targeting each patient's specific preoperative resting cardiac index rather than an arbitrary, 'one-size-fits-all' standard—yet it reinforces the emerging consensus that protocolized hemodynamic interventions do not incrementally improve composite outcomes over contemporary standard anesthetic care.

Guided Discussion

High-yield insights from every perspective

Med Student
Medical Student

What are the physiological determinants of Cardiac Index (CI), and why was matching a patient's preoperative resting CI during surgery theoretically hypothesized to prevent postoperative organ injury?

Key Response

CI is cardiac output (heart rate multiplied by stroke volume) normalized to body surface area. Surgery induces a hypermetabolic state and systemic stress; the hypothesis was that failing to maintain a patient's unique baseline perfusion (their individualized resting CI) would lead to an oxygen supply-demand mismatch, resulting in tissue hypoxia, anaerobic metabolism, and subsequent acute organ dysfunction such as acute kidney or myocardial injury.

Resident
Resident

In the operating room setting, if an individualized CI-guided protocol dictates that a patient's intraoperative cardiac index is falling significantly below their target, what are the stepwise pharmacological and fluid management strategies utilized to restore it?

Key Response

Management typically begins with assessing fluid responsiveness using dynamic parameters like stroke volume variation or pulse pressure variation to administer crystalloids or colloids. If preload is optimized but CI remains low, providers use inotropes (e.g., dobutamine) to increase contractility, or adjust vasopressors (e.g., norepinephrine) to ensure adequate perfusion pressure while balancing afterload.

Fellow
Fellow

Early goal-directed hemodynamic therapy (GDHT) trials showed significant outcome benefits, yet this contemporary trial of individualized CI-guided therapy showed no benefit over routine care. What modern perioperative shifts explain this attenuation of benefit?

Key Response

Modern 'routine' care has evolved dramatically, universally incorporating Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocols, balanced restrictive fluid strategies, and better baseline monitoring. Consequently, the delta in actual hemodynamic management between the intervention and standard-of-care arms is much smaller today. Furthermore, targeting a 'resting' preoperative CI may physiologically underestimate the hyperdynamic requirements of surgical stress.

Attending
Attending

Given that individualized, semi-invasive cardiac index monitoring did not improve the 7-day composite outcomes in high-risk abdominal cases, how should this evidence drive changes in departmental intraoperative resource allocation and standard operating procedures?

Key Response

This trial supports moving away from the routine, resource-intensive deployment of individualized CI monitoring and the associated overtreatment risks (like excessive inotrope use). Instead, departments should allocate resources toward standardizing high-quality routine hemodynamic care, such as non-invasive goal-directed fluid therapy based on dynamic parameters, which is equally effective and less costly.

Scholarly Review

Critical appraisal through the lens of expert reviewers and guideline development

PhD
PhD

The trial utilized a 7-day composite outcome of major organ injury, severe infection, or death. What are the methodological vulnerabilities of using this specific composite in an intraoperative hemodynamic trial, and how might it dilute the observable treatment effect?

Key Response

Composite outcomes increase statistical power but assume all components are equally responsive to the intervention. Hemodynamic interventions most directly mediate end-organ perfusion (impacting acute kidney or myocardial injury), whereas severe infections might be driven primarily by surgical technique, bowel prep, or antibiotic timing. Including less biologically plausible components dilutes the effect size and biases results toward the null.

Journal Editor
Journal Editor

When assessing the internal validity of this unblinded hemodynamic trial, what specific data points regarding protocol adherence in the intervention arm and crossover/co-intervention in the control arm are most critical to scrutinize?

Key Response

In unblinded pragmatic trials, control arm contamination (anesthesia providers intuitively utilizing GDHT principles) or failure in the intervention arm to actually achieve the individualized CI targets (due to physiological limits or reluctance to push high-dose inotropes) are major threats to validity. A reviewer must scrutinize the 'hemodynamic separation' data to ensure the two groups actually received distinctly different physiological therapies.

Guideline Committee
Guideline Committee

Current ERAS and ASA guidelines recommend goal-directed fluid therapy (GDFT) using dynamic parameters to optimize stroke volume, but do not mandate specific cardiac index targets. How does this null result influence the strength of recommendations regarding advanced CI-guided monitoring?

Key Response

This study provides high-quality evidence that reinforces current guidelines, demonstrating that adding individualized absolute CI targets to standard care does not confer additional clinical benefit. Guideline committees should use this to maintain a strong recommendation for dynamic GDFT while explicitly recommending against the routine use of individualized CI-targeted protocols to reduce unnecessary interventions and healthcare costs.

Clinical Landscape

Noteworthy Related Trials

2014

OPTIMISE Trial

n = 734 · JAMA

Tested

Cardiac output-guided hemodynamic therapy using IV fluid and dopexamine

Population

High-risk patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery

Comparator

Usual care

Endpoint

Composite of 30-day moderate or major complications and mortality

Key result: Goal-directed hemodynamic therapy did not significantly reduce the composite outcome of complications and mortality compared with usual care.
2018

RELIEF Trial

n = 2,983 · NEJM

Tested

Restrictive perioperative intravenous-fluid regimen

Population

Adults at increased risk for complications undergoing major abdominal surgery

Comparator

Liberal intravenous-fluid regimen

Endpoint

Disability-free survival at 1 year

Key result: A restrictive fluid regimen did not improve disability-free survival and was associated with a higher rate of acute kidney injury.
2018

FEDORA Trial

n = 420 · Br J Anaesth

Tested

Goal-directed hemodynamic therapy guided by esophageal Doppler

Population

Patients undergoing major elective non-cardiac surgery

Comparator

Traditional fluid management

Endpoint

Moderate or severe postoperative complications within 180 days

Key result: Goal-directed hemodynamic therapy significantly reduced the rate of postoperative complications, acute kidney injury, and length of hospital stay.

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